Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.269869e-01 0.155897 0.187360 0.223854 0.264732 0.308839 0.359757
2025-03-30 8.600870e-02 0.123095 0.167246 0.222454 0.288456 0.363733 0.454984
2025-04-06 5.928227e-02 0.099680 0.152272 0.222725 0.311779 0.418000 0.551692
2025-04-13 4.258660e-02 0.084445 0.143867 0.228535 0.340699 0.479390 0.659095
2025-04-20 3.125640e-02 0.073417 0.138515 0.236577 0.371810 0.544047 0.772454
2025-04-27 2.268385e-02 0.063906 0.133201 0.243211 0.400501 0.606050 0.884044
2025-05-04 1.508629e-02 0.053115 0.123577 0.241864 0.417311 0.652468 0.976574
2025-05-11 1.050485e-02 0.046278 0.118852 0.246731 0.442269 0.709758 1.083971
2025-05-18 6.503478e-03 0.038380 0.110440 0.244424 0.456046 0.751725 1.171704
2025-05-25 3.120265e-03 0.028962 0.096666 0.231269 0.452215 0.768538 1.225618
2025-06-01 1.763730e-03 0.024750 0.092358 0.233405 0.471138 0.817094 1.322666
2025-06-08 7.117262e-04 0.019548 0.084266 0.227574 0.476827 0.846474 1.393674
2025-06-15 4.100651e-04 0.018304 0.085666 0.239779 0.512317 0.920487 1.528720
2025-06-22 1.138432e-04 0.015092 0.080931 0.239609 0.527526 0.965211 1.623940
2025-06-29 1.434996e-05 0.012541 0.077102 0.240656 0.544548 1.012803 1.723834
2025-07-06 1.781065e-07 0.011076 0.076074 0.247224 0.570955 1.074789 1.844846
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010048 0.076127 0.255964 0.601221 1.142992 1.975444
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008952 0.075516 0.263113 0.628841 1.207575 2.101627
2025-07-27 NaN 0.007159 0.071340 0.261790 0.641350 1.249142 2.195210
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006195 0.070105 0.266973 0.665454 1.308825 2.315498
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004791 0.065892 0.264576 0.675606 1.346866 2.404724
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002982 0.057529 0.250731 0.663829 1.349990 2.442730
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002375 0.055655 0.252995 0.681998 1.400559 2.550774